August 8, 2022

L’escalade des prix. Largely contained after the entry of France into the euro, l’inflation known une hausse spectaculaire in France and in Europe after the end of the year 2021. Due to the difficulties of appropriation related to Covid-19 and the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the prix is ​​involved these last days.

The OECD estimates that inflation will rise to 8.5% in the member countries in 2022. la hausse est plus contenue que chez de nombreux voisins européens More pressure is intensifying on households and businesses. In May, inflation was 5.2% in France, a level that is still there after 37 years.

« Enormement d’uncertitudes »

More jusqu’où cette flambée des prix peut-elle aller? Dans une interview accordée au Figaro On May 31, 2022, the Minister of the Economy Bruno Le Maire estimated that France devrait sort out « pic d’inflation end 2023 »​. Selon lui, l’inflation devrait ensuite rester à un level elevé, 2% autour​.

Il already enormément d’incertitudes​, met en garde Gilbert Cette, professor of economics at Neoma Business School. Cela will depend on the poursuite of the war in Ukraine and the restrictions in China related to Covid but also the evolution of wages. ​Le chercheur craint en effet qu’une augmentation des salaires n’alimente mécaniquement la hausse des prix.

Lire also: Faut-il augmenter les salaires? On a posed the question to deux économistes

The companies are not fully affected by the hausse des matières premieres et les travailleurs vont réclamer des hausses de salaire pour compensater l’inflation​, completed Henri Sterdyniak, economist at Science Po.

An inflation «between 3% and 4%»

A rattrapage sur les prix de l’energie après le plafonnement des prix in 2022 is also in craindre, malgré les propos rassurants by Bruno Le Maire.

Co-fondateur des Économistes atterrés, Henri Sterdyniak also considers that the situation will be three depending on the international context. When the situation is going to normalize in China, we can help when a certain number of tensions are resolving. Il y aura aussi sans doute un certain slowdown économique aux États-Unis qui fera baisser le prix des matières premières​, predict-il.

in revenge, il y aura toujours des tensions sur le gaz russe et la hausse des prix va continuer de frapper les pays européens​, suit Henri Sterdyniak. Consequently, If inflation may start to decrease in 2023, it will remain between 3% and 4%. At the end of the term, the energy price of progresser and our devrions know an inflation trend plus he sees what our connaissions after the debut of années 2000​, concludes the economist.

Inflation. Jusqu’où la hausse des prix peut-elle aller ?

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.